Quarterly Market Update – April 2024

April 2024

ItemCountry of OriginBeginning of harvestEnd of harvestUpdates
Baby CornThailandYear roundYear roundRaw material availability is in a much better shape. We are close to resuming normal lead times.
Tuna Albacore and SkipjackThailandYear roundYear roundCatchings for skipjack and albacore are solid. Skipjack hit a low cost in Q1 and is expected to trend up in Q2.
OnionsChinaYear roundYear RoundYear round crop is stable. So far the outlook is steady. No adverse factors to report at this time.
PineappleThailandAprilJuneCrop yields remain low and raw materials costs continue to trend upwards. El Nino is again cited as a reason for drought and higher temperatures, which is detrimental to producing higher quality and yield crops. Processors may also see another wave of wage increases, as dictated by the national government. Forecasts are showing that 2024 will not bring relief for all things Thai pineapple.
QuinoaPeruMayJunePredictions of lower yields and lesser availability have abated slightly. Raw materials costing has held, with red coming into parity with white.
PeppersPeruMayJulyNew pack availability in July/August cannot get here quick enough. A supplier discontinuing business the latter half of 2023 caused shortages to multiple products. When new pack arrives, we will have availability again.
PeppersChinaJuneSeptNew crop harvest begins in June. So far the outlook is steady. No adverse factors to report at this time. As in Q1, North America continues to struggle with pepper crops. This may lead to a spike in inquiries and demand for peppers outside of North American origin.
MangosMexicoJune AugustAs we reach summer, new pack should put us in a better situation on availability. Varieties such as Kent were hit hard due to weather, resulting in practically a crop failure. El Nino caused major issues to the crop.
EdamameChinaJulyNovemberNew crop harvest begins in June. So far the outlook is steady. No adverse factors to report at this time.
Thailand Origin RiceThailandOctoberDecemberExport demand for all Thai origin rice is still high. Traditional exports and local Thai consumption remains strong. There are rumblings about how drought might affect the new crop coming up later this year. Overall, there will be no near term relief in raw materials costing.
Ripe OlivesMoroccoOctober JanuaryFor numerous reasons, including farmers able to sell olives at higher prices to crushers, Morocco has not been able to export as they have in the past. Availability of the product and prepay decisions have caused companies to source from different countries again. Spain and Egypt have taken over main production.
Olive OilSpainNovemberMarchOlive oil prices have not started to decrease as originally expected after harvest; prices have remained high. Countries restricting exports and the lower quantity of olives due to weather have caused major issues. Shipping delays have started due to the Suez Canal crisis disrupting all supply chains.

Logistics Update

Canal and geopolitical issues are continuing but we are seeing some positive rate movement

Suez Canal – Continuing geopolitical challenges in the Red Sea, a vital route to the Suez Canal, have led to ships rerouting around Africa’s southern tip, significantly increasing costs and voyage durations. The attacks prompted the rerouting of hundreds of vessels, adding 7 to 20 days to their voyages around Africa’s Cape of Good Hope. Rates for Asia-to-North America’s East and West Coasts have also surged, with logistics executives anticipating cargo diversions to avoid Red Sea-related issues. The Red Sea crisis coincides with drought issues in the Panama Canal. FreightWaves reports that cargo from Asia bound for East and Gulf Coast ports had initially been switched from Panama to the Suez Canal but is now undergoing further rerouting around the Cape of Good Hope.

Panama Canal – Due to water levels continuing to dwindle, the Canal Authority has been forced to restrict reservations. As we approach the rainy seasons, typically spanning from May through December, there is hope that water levels will rise, alleviating some of the current constraints. However, the situation highlights the urgent need for alternative strategies to manage reservations and ensure the Canal’s operational efficiency amidst environmental conditions. Capacity is still about 24 ships per day with projections of increasing with the coming rains.

Ocean Freight Rates – While we saw the cost for a number freight lanes reduced in March, the situations in the Red Sea and Panama Canal continue to keep rates elevated. Projections are that we will see further reductions in the next 30-45 days.